Harley-Davidson (HOG) Q4 Earnings Preview: Key Metrics and Outlook

Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) will release Q4 earnings before market open on February 06, 2026. Last quarter, the company posted revenue of $1.34 billion, up 16.5% YoY, and sold 36,500 motorcycles, a 32.7% increase. It outperformed on revenue and EPS but beat EBITDA guidance. For this quarter, the consensus projects revenue to decline 6.3% YoY to $644 million, versus a 34.7% drop in Q4 2024. The average adjusted loss is expected to be -$1.08 per share. Over the past 30 days, analyst estimates have trended up, and the stock is heading into earnings at $20.58 with an average price target of $26.50. Peer context: MasterCraft and Brunswick posted revenue gains of 13.2% and 15.5%, respectively, outperforming estimates. Leisure products shares have averaged a -2.2% monthly return in the past month, while Harley-Davidson is down 1.5% and outperformed peers in the sector.