ET 20:41

Headline: Federal Reserve Signals Rate Hikes, U.S. Equities Fall Over 1% on June 18

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Macro

U.S. equities closed sharply lower on June 18, 2026, after the Federal Reserve signaled a potential interest rate hike later this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.96% to 51,494.99, the S&P 500 dropped 1.19% to 7,421.76, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.32% to 26,027.21. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized inflation control, and the latest dot plot indicated officials foresee further tightening. The Fed maintained its benchmark rate at 3.50%-3.75% but removed prior language about potential 2026 rate cuts from its policy statement. Updated quarterly projections showed 9 of 19 officials anticipate at least one rate hike by year-end. Following the hawkish signals, CME FedWatch data indicated the probability of a 25-basis-point hike by year-end surged to nearly 38%, with a 50-basis-point hike at almost 33%. This marks a significant shift in market sentiment, moving from anticipated rate cuts to pricing in potential tightening.

EditorTan Wei Jie