Arabica and Robusta Prices Rise on Roaster Rebuilding: KCB26, RCB26

Arabica (KCB26) and robusta (RCB26) coffee prices climb sharply on February 13, 2026: arabica up +3.25 (+1.08%) to $187.50, robusta up +67 (+1.75%) to $1,177.50. Second consecutive daily gain follows a recent sell-off as coffee roasters rebuild inventories amid renewed demand. Key context: Robusta fell to a 6-month low on Wednesday and arabica to a 6-month low on Monday after Brazil’s 2026 output forecast rose 17.2% to 66.2 million bags (arabica +23.2% to 44.1M; robusta +6.3% to 22.1M). Rain in Minas Gerais improved weather outlooks. Vietnam’s January exports surged +38.3% to 198,000 MT, supporting robusta. Supportive factors include tighter inventories: arabica stocks at 461,829 bags (Jan 7), robusta at 4,662 lots; ICO-reported exports for Oct-Sep at 138.658 million bags, down 0.3% y/y. Output forecasts: global 2025/26 at 178.848M bags (arabica -4.7% to 95.515M; robusta +10.9% to 83.333M); Brazil -3.1% to 63M; Vietnam +6.2% to 30.8M.