CryptoQuant: Bitcoin’s Ultimate Bear Bottom Estimated at $55K; Could Fall to $50K Before Rebound

CryptoQuant’s weekly report estimates Bitcoin’s ultimate bear market bottom is around $55,000, citing the realized price metric, which historically has acted as a key support in past bear market bottoms. The realized price has been touched during both of the last two bottoms and often remains in a gravitational range for 4-6 months once reached. Analysts at Galaxy and at Standard Chartered suggest further downside to key support levels: $58,000 and $50,000, respectively, before a potential rebound toward $100,000. Prediction markets on Myriad favor a drop to $55,000 before a pump to $84,000 around 54% probability as of February 14, 2026. However, Bitcoin has gained 1.6% in the last 24 hours, closing near $69,724, with a 27% decline in the last 30 days and roughly a 45% drop from its October all-time high of $126,080.