Morgan Stanley began coverage on Monday with overweight ratings for Cipher Mining (CIFR) and TeraWulf (WULF), and an underweight rating for Marathon Digital (MARA). Targets: $38 for CIFR, $37 for WULF, $8 for MARA. CIFR up 12.4% to $16.51, WULF up 12.8% to $16.12, MARA higher at $8.28.
Analysts view CIFR and WULF as infrastructure assets with stable cash flows from long-term data center leases, comparing them to REITs EQIX and DLR which trade at over 20x forward EBITDA. They see higher valuations than the current market for DCs with strong, creditworthy tenants.
Byrd projects CIFR’s DCs could approach REIT-like valuations and estimates TeraWulf’s conversion sites at about $8 per watt, assuming 50% or 75% of its planned 250MW annual growth. He highlights Marathon’s hybrid mining-to-DC model and focus on bitcoin price exposure as limiting its upside, noting mining remains capital-intensive with historically unattractive ROIC.
Analysts view CIFR and WULF as infrastructure assets with stable cash flows from long-term data center leases, comparing them to REITs EQIX and DLR which trade at over 20x forward EBITDA. They see higher valuations than the current market for DCs with strong, creditworthy tenants.
Byrd projects CIFR’s DCs could approach REIT-like valuations and estimates TeraWulf’s conversion sites at about $8 per watt, assuming 50% or 75% of its planned 250MW annual growth. He highlights Marathon’s hybrid mining-to-DC model and focus on bitcoin price exposure as limiting its upside, noting mining remains capital-intensive with historically unattractive ROIC.