Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) will report earnings this Thursday after market close. Last quarter, the company posted revenue of $4.10 billion, up 9.7% year-on-year, and 133.6 million nights booked, up 8.8% year-on-year, exceeding revenue expectations.

For this quarter, the consensus calls for revenue to rise 9.5% YoY to $2.72 billion, down from 11.8% in the same quarter last year, and adjusted EPS of $0.65 per share. Recent peer results show Electronic Arts revenue up 61.8% and Reddit up 69.7%, while broader consumer internet shares are down about 17.3% in the past month.

ABNB is down 13.1% during that period, with an average analyst price target of $143.75 versus its current share price of $120.37.

10x Genomics (NASDAQ:TXG) will report earnings Thu, Feb 13, following market close. Last quarter, the company posted revenue of $149 million, 4.6% above expectations and 1.7% YoY down; it also beat EPS guidance. For this quarter, analysts expect revenue to decline 3.5% YoY to $159.2 million, versus the 10.3% drop in Q4 2024. The adjusted loss is forecast at -$0.04 per share.

Context: The life sciences tools & services sector underperformed last month (-3.7%) amid economic uncertainty and potential tariff/tax changes. 10x Genomics is down 4.5% over the same period, trading at $19.16 vs an average analyst price target of $18.08. Peers: Illumina +5% YoY and Medpace +32% YoY in Q4.

Investor sentiment toward selling U.S. assets has been exaggerated despite headlines linking Trump’s tariffs and Greenland remarks to heightened geopolitical tension. In January 2026, flows toward U.S. equities, Treasuries, and the dollar were pressured by trade frictions with the EU and other regions.

However, Alpine Macro strategist Dan Alamariu argues coordinated, large-scale divestment is neither practical nor likely. Geopolitical headwinds have self-limiting properties, and investors typically discount such risks over time as tensions ease.

Data shows European investors remained a key buyer of U.S. government debt in 2025, and while China’s directive to scale back U.S. Treasuries may raise short-term volatility, long-term U.S. innovation and technological leadership are likely to sustain investor interest.

A genuine risk emerges only if the U.S. market underperforms amid a major geopolitical shock within the next 12 months, prompting broader reallocation.

The semiconductor industry is eyeing a potential new upward leg as technical analysis shows key ETFs and个股 forming consolidation patterns suggesting building momentum. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF closed above 400 on four consecutive Fridays with weekly收盘 gaps under 1%, indicating a potential trend setup.

AVGO, ARM, and Credo Technology Group (CRDO) lead the pack: AVGO posted a bullish hammer near its 200-day均线 and a key 335 support level, with a potential 359.59 resistance that represents about 20% upside from 400. ARM reversed a three-month downtrend with a bullish engulfing pattern after a 17% weekly gain and could test 144.35 support before aiming for 170 at about a 44% target. CRDO formed a bullish morning star above 100 and could target 164.90, with a 58% upside to 175 if breached.

The S&P 11-sector Technology板块 remains the weakest for 2026, down 2% YTD despite a 4% gain in the preceding week. Analysts caution that this rally could be either the start of a reversal or a short-lived "last-minute" move, pending confirmation from economic data and capital flows, particularly toward AI and data center themes.

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) will report earnings Thursday, Feb 13, 2026, before the bell. Last quarter, the private corrections company posted revenue of $682.3M, up 13.1% YoY and 2.5% over expectations, but guidance for Q1 missed both revenue and EPS estimates. For Q1 2026, the average estimate is revenue of $669.1M (10.1% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.25. Over the past 30 days, 12 analyst estimates have been reaffirmed. Peer performance is mixed: Tetra Tech revenue fell 13.4% YoY but beat estimates by 6.4% and rose 3% on results; UniFirst revenue rose 2.7% YoY and topped estimates by 1%. GEO is down 5.6% in the last month versus a 2.6% average decline among peers, with an average analyst price target of $32.25 versus its current share of $16.33. Macroeconomic uncertainty, including trade policy and corporate tax discussions, could weigh on growth.

TransUnion (NYSE:TRU) will report fourth-quarter results Thursday, February 12, 2026, before the market opens. The company outperformed in Q3, recording $1.17 billion in revenue, 7.8% higher than the prior year, and beating revenue estimates by 3.2%. For Q4, analysts expect revenue to rise 9.3% YoY to $1.13 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.03 per share. TransUnion has beaten revenue guidance by an average of 2.6% over the past two years.

Peer results provide context: Broadridge revenue growth was 7.8% YoY, outpacing estimates by 6.5%, while SS&C posted 8.1% growth, 1.9% above estimates. Following their earnings, Broadridge fell 4.1% and SS&C rose 3.2%. TransUnion is down 12.8% in the last month, trading at $74.23 versus an average analyst price target of $105.25.

Macroeconomic uncertainty, including potential trade policy shifts and corporate tax discussions, could temper growth despite the sector’s resilience.

Ryan Specialty (NYSE:RYAN) will report Q4 earnings on Thursday, February 13, 2026. Last quarter, the company posted revenue of $754.6 million, 24.8% higher year-on-year and 2.9% above analyst expectations. For Q4, analysts expect revenue to rise 16.2% YoY to $771 million, with adjusted earnings at $0.49 per share. Ryan has exceeded revenue estimates an average of 1.3% over the past two years and missed them just once.

Peer performance in the insurance brokers segment provides context: Marsh & McLennan revenue rose 8.7% YoY, beating expectations by 0.7%, and Arthur J Gallagher revenue was up 34.8%, in line with estimates. Marsh & McLennan shares gained 5.6% on results; Arthur J. Gallagher rose 1.4%.

Ryan Specialty is down 11.6% over the past month, while the sector averaged a 2.6% loss. The stock trades at $44.14 with an average analyst price target of $64.31.

Q4 2025 results show Morguard North American Residential REIT (MORG) reporting net income of $0.32 per share, a 12% decline from $0.36 in Q4 2024. The drop follows softer demand in the multifamily and industrial housing sectors, with revenue down 10% year-over-year to $296.8 million. Management attributed the decline to higher interest rates and tighter lending conditions, with same-store NOI down 7% in the quarter. The REIT ended 2025 with a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 6.2x, in line with its target range.

India's major indices are expected to open flat to slightly higher on February 11, 2026, reflecting cautious investor sentiment ahead of the weekly retail inflation data release later in the session. The Sensex and Nifty 50 are closely watched as traders size up the impact of the CPI figure on monetary policy and valuations. Preliminary data from the Central Statistical Organization showed inflation easing to 4.7% MoM in January, down from 5.2% in December, though year-on-year inflation remains around 6.2%.

Following AI model releases, tech-software shares have underperformed the broader Nasdaq by their widest margin this century, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV) down sharply while AI hardware and infrastructure names remain near highs. The selloff reflects fear-based narratives, not a fundamental death spiral.

Senior Market Strategist John Rowland, CMT, views this as capitulation separating survivors from casualties. Usage of SaaS platforms remains entrenched across healthcare, HR, sales, and engineering; Salesforce (CRM) is a relative standout. AI expands risk, creating demand for identity and security solutions where Okta (OKTA) has posted higher lows.

Key differentiators include switching costs, entrenchment, and security relevance. A breakout above the 50-day moving average would signal fading fear and institutional buying. Until then, the environment remains cautious, with opportunities for defined-risk strategies in established demand zones.

Lean Hog futures fell on Tuesday, closing 25 cents to $1.25 lower across contracts. The CME Lean Hog Index was 11 cents lower at $86.46 on February 6. USDA reported Tuesday’s base hog price at $87.74. Pork carcass cutout value dipped 37 cents to $95.46 per cwt, with loin, rib, and belly primals down. Slaughter for Tuesday was 494,000 head, up 58,000 from last week but 782 below the same week last year; the week-to-date total was 979,000 head.

February 26: $86.850, down $0.250

April 26: $95.500, down $1.225

May 26: $99.525, down $0.850

Data source: Barchart.com. The article’s original publication was February 10, 2026, at 23:12 UTC. Austin Schroeder had no positions in the securities mentioned.

Corn futures traded steady to slightly higher on Tuesday, with the CommodityView national average cash price steady at $3.95 1/4. The average close for December futures in February was $4.58 as the base spring price for crop insurance is set.

USDA's monthly WASDE update trimmed ending stocks by 100 mbu and projected carryout at 2.117 bbu, with the only change a 100 mbu increase in the export projection. World ending stocks stood at 288.98 MMT, down 1.93 MMT from January.

Brazil's February corn exports are estimated at 953,217 MT, up 159,953 MT from the prior month.

-Feb 10, 2026

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.28 3/4, unchanged;

Nearby Cash Corn at $3.95 1/4, no change;

May 26 Corn closed at $4.37 1/4, up 1/4 cent;

Jul 26 Corn closed at $4.44 3/4, up 1 cent;

On February 10, 2026, the launch of Altruist’s AI tax advisory tool, Hazel, triggered a sell-off across wealth management firms. Shares of Charles Schwab ( SCH), Raymond James (RJX), and others fell more than 7% on the day, the largest decline since the start of the equivalent tariffs debate in late 2025. The panic spread after Insurify’s use of ChatGPT to develop a car insurance price-comparison tool sent insurance经纪 stocks lower on Monday, February 9.

Hazel, priced at $100 per month, claims to replace financial advisor teams in customizing investment strategies. Jason Wenk of Altruist said the architecture can replace any position in wealth management, prompting a broad flight-to-liquidity and billions of dollars in lost market value.

John Belton of Gabelli Funds warned that companies facing technological substitution are being indiscriminately sold, as investors shift from chasing AI winners to aggressively hedging. The fear reflects the accelerating disruption by AI applications from Anthropic and others into finance, legal, and asset management, where trillions of dollars are at stake. The sell-off underscores the stress on valuation frameworks as AI moves from concept to reality.

Samsung Electronics expects strong memory chip demand to continue this year and extend into 2027, citing robust AI-driven consumption. Song Jai-hyuk, CTO of the chip division, said customer feedback on the next-generation HBM4 high-bandwidth memory chip has been "very satisfactory" at the Semicon trade show.

Cotton futures ended near unchanged on February 9, 2026, with March contracts closing at 61.59, down 2; May at 63.78, up 2; and July at 65.48, up 3. Crude oil futures fell $0.16 to $64.20, while the US dollar index rose to 96.730.

USDA’s February 9 WASDE report cut exports by 200,000 bales to 4.4 million, raised ending stocks by 200,000 bales, and increased world ending stocks by 630,000 to 75.11 million. Sales totaled 10,196 bales at 58.01 cents/lb; the Cotlook A Index was 72.55 cents, down 25 points from Monday; ICE certified stocks rose to 95,158 bales, and the Adjusted World Price was 49.78 cents/lb, down 42 points from Thursday.

Live cattle futures fell 20 to 80 cents across most contracts on February 10, closing at $239.10 for February, $237.425 for April, and $233.800 for June. Feeder cattle futures were $1.00 to $2.67 lower, closing at $364.775, $361.275, and $356.775 for March, April, and May, respectively. The CME Feeder Cattle Index was at $373.83, down 83 cents from the February 6 close.

Wholesale boxed beef prices were mixed: the Choice/Select spread widened to $4.65. Choice closed at $367.55, down 21 cents; Select at $362.90, down $2.45. USDA reported 116,000 head slaughtered Tuesday, for a weekly total of 223,000, 4,183 head above the same week last year.

Google (GOOGL-US) is reshaping its workforce, introducing a voluntary separation program for select employees in its Global Business Unit amid strategic shifts and evolving market conditions.

An internal email dated February 10, 2026, from Philipp Schindler, Chief Business Officer, notified staff that members of solution, sales, and enterprise development teams in the U.S. may choose voluntary departure and receive separation benefits. Schindler emphasized the need for full commitment to the company’s mission and rapid adoption of artificial intelligence to meet heightened competition.

The program excludes large enterprise sales teams and other roles directly facing clients to minimize disruption. Last year, Google also offered voluntary separations during office policy realignment in June 2025, and YouTube proposed similar options in October 2025.

Bespoke Investment Group reports the S&P 500 has for the first time in its history oscillated within a week from overbought to oversold and back to overbought. The sequence began February 2, with software-as-a-service selling rising and the index crossing the overbought boundary (above the 50-day moving average plus one standard deviation) as defined by Bespoke. By February 5, it entered the oversold range (below the 50-day moving average minus one standard deviation), and by February 9, after a two-day rally, it returned to overbought territory.

This rapid oscillation reflects continued difficulty for the S&P 500 in effectively sustaining momentum above the 7,000-point barrier and highlights persistent buy-on-weakness sentiment. On February 11, the S&P 500 closed lower despite a midday rally; the Nasdaq Composite also closed in red, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a 50-point gain and closed in a new high range. Silver and gold prices experienced a notable up-and-down pattern this year, and the Russell 2000 delivered strong outperformance.

Prediction markets face regulatory and settlement disputes over whether Cardi B's halftime appearance by Bad Bunny qualified as a "performance." Kalshi refunded all bets after citing rule ambiguity, closing the $0.74 No and $0.26 Yes contract and returning all money, citing a pause in trading. Polymarket resolved the event in favor of Cardi B's performance, with a final decision on Wednesday pending.

More than $47.3 million was wagered on Kalshi's "Who will perform at the Big Game?" contract, and over $10 million on Polymarket's equivalent. Kalshi hit a daily record of over $1 billion in trading volume on February 1, 2026, a 2,700% increase from 2025. Season-long Super Bowl winner futures totaled $828.6 million, up over 2,000% year-over-year, amid deposit issues resolved with reimbursements and credit to affected users.

A CFTC complaint by a Yes holder alleges Kalshi violated the Commodity Exchange Act in resolving the Cardi B contract, seeking recovery of $3,700.

Bitcoin received fresh support as whale wallets added about 53,000 coins in the past week, their largest buying spree since November, helping prices stabilize after a steep drawdown. Data from Glassnode shows wallets with more than 1,000 coins added over $4 billion in the period, interrupting months of selling that have depressed Bitcoin to roughly 40% below its October peak.

Excluding ETFs and exchanges, large Bitcoin-holding wallets have been net sellers over the past year, offloading more than 170,000 coins worth about $11 billion since mid-December. The price action reflects uneven support, with Bitcoin trading above $69,100 as it rebounded from a recent low of around $60,000.

Analysts caution that accumulation by whales may be damage control rather than a sustained rally. Broader demand remains weak, with exchange-traded fund buyers and publicly listed companies that had embraced Bitcoin as a reserve asset both adding less aggressively. A fresh source of demand is needed to generate lasting momentum.